dc.description.abstract |
Almost countries around the world have experienced any types of catastrophic natural disasters,
such as volcanic eruptions, magnificent earthquakes, landslides, floods, droughts, cyclones,
tornados, snow /sand storm, coastal erosion and tsunami. Hundreds of thousands of lives, property
and physical infrastructures, including with transportation system & its infrastructure i.e.
highways, railways, ports & air ports are caused to overwhelm, due to such these types of
disasters. Traditional reconstruction practices, as a “post-disaster resilience strategy” is an extra
burden to the economies of the countries. Application of modern technological strategies, on
disaster resilience practices, as a “pre- disaster resilience strategy”, is behaving on conceptual
stage among the 3rd world, developing countries, while the developed countries are on its testing
and utilizing stage in micro / macro levels. Hence an efficient pre-disaster resilience assessment
process should be developed, especially for the transportation system in the developing countries,
based on up to date technology. All physical and demographic information that is related to the
factors affecting disaster risk on transportation infrastructure such as terrain, soil condition,
drainage pattern, weather pattern land use, population which is available in a scattered manner,
has not been analyzed in an integrated manner to identify the disaster possibility on transport
infrastructure. Identification of disaster resilience of existing and proposed transportation
infrastructure will be very useful to minimize impacts due to any natural disaster.
The main objective of this research is to develop a methodology, which helps to build up a
systematic tool to identify the possible risk areas, on transportation infrastructure, based on the
information available, using ArcGIS software.
The initial step of the methodology of this research is, based on disaster records and relevant data,
which were gathered from the responsible institutes, online journals and research papers, library &
field surveys, as the data collecting phase. Along with the literature survey relevant data such as
disaster records, together with floods and landslides data, land use pattern, soil, geographical &
climatic data, demographic information will be collected and to prepare a GIS database. By using
world famous frequency estimation methods, i.e. Gumbel’s , Weibul’s, Gringroatan’s, Hanzen’s,
Blayerd’s, the flood return periods were calculated. By using simple statistics, the flood gauge
heights, corresponds to the different flood return periods were defined. The flood and landslide
risks were identified in order to the given parameters, by the responsible institutes; and ranked
them for analyzing purposes. Finally, by integrating the flood and landslide risk ranks, using a
program, written in VB, the total disaster risk, of a place, area, could be identified, and produced
the results in map media, by using the ArcGis software.
10 km circle area, covers with 314.28 km2, around the Ratnapura town, in the Ratnapura sub
catchment of Kalu River, has been selected as the pilot site to do the cause study. After the
application of the defined methodology to the pilot site, the results were obtained as, 58.1%,
(182.4381 km2 out of 314.28km2 pilot site) is belonging to Very low (or No risk) risk area, while
other Low risk, Moderate risk and High risk areas were 20.9% (65.7067 km2), 19.3% (60.75185
km2) and 1.7% (5.262446 km2) respectively. And all the inundation areas correspond to flood
return periods, and major risk areas of flooding and landslides were produced by using ArcGIS
software. |
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