Critical evaluation of transport sector ndcs for a lowcarbon future

Abstract

The Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) of the transport sector have been recognised as one of the most effective measures to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This study aims to conduct a comprehensive and critical evaluation of the NDCs of the transportation sector in Sri Lanka to assess their effectiveness in achieving a low-carbon future. The first set of NDCs was implemented by the Mahaweli Development and Environment Ministry in 2016 and was subsequently submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. In July 2021, Sri Lanka updated its NDCs, reflecting its ongoing commitment to combating climate change. This research aims to identify the gaps and limitations of current policy and to plan strategies and recommend effective strategies to support the sector's transition to a sustainable future. Through evaluation of the effectiveness of current NDCs, we can provide information on the country's progress toward achieving its climate goals. This research can provide valuable recommendations to policymakers and stakeholders to overcome these challenges and promote sustainable development in the transport sector. To prioritise NDCs, a set of criteria was developed based on research objectives and the specific needs of the transportation sector. These criteria served as a framework for subsequent analysis. A questionnaire survey was administered to gather information from transportation industry professionals and the general public regarding NDCs. The collected data was analysed using suitable statistical approaches, using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) software as a tool. A list of essential NDCs for the transport sector was established using the prioritised criteria and the feedback obtained from the questionnaire survey. This list served as the basis for the subsequent evaluation and analysis of the identified NDCs. Finally, conclusions were drawn based on the evaluation and analysis regarding the significance and impact of the prioritised NDCs in the transportation sector. This study's results have helped increase awareness of the complexity of emission assessments in the transportation industry and have provided helpful information for planning and policy-making related to sustainable transportation. This research can provide valuable recommendations to policymakers and stakeholders to overcome these challenges and promote sustainable development in the Sri Lankan transport sector. In conclusion, implementing the proposed enhancements for the selected NDCs is crucial to effectively align Sri Lanka with the goals of the Paris Agreement within the designated time frame. Sri Lanka is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, underscoring the urgency and importance of taking decisive action. It is imperative to prioritise and address the identified issues to mitigate risks, enhance resilience, and contribute to global efforts in combating climate change. By proactively addressing these challenges, Sri Lanka can create a sustainable and climate-resilient future.