Forecasting critical dry spells in dl1 - a case study from anamaduwa

dc.contributor.author	Mathugama, SC
dc.contributor.author	Peiris, TSG
dc.date.accessioned	2013-10-21T02:13:01Z
dc.date.available	2013-10-21T02:13:01Z
dc.date.issued	2009
dc.description.abstract	Daily rainfall data(l950-2005) in Anamaduwa were analysed and useful information on the lengths (LDS1-LDS4) and the starting dates (SD1-SD4) of four critical dry spells were obtained. The mean duration of LDS1- LDS4 were 37,35,46 and 50 days respectively. More than 75% of the fourth critical dry spell occurred prior to the period 12-18 December and continued up to 2-3 weeks in January. Regression models (p< 0.001) were developed to forecast starting dates of the second, third and fourth critical dry spells. Log normal distributions were fitted for the length of the four critical dry spells.
dc.identifier.conference	Research for Industry
dc.identifier.pgnos	pp. 123-124
dc.identifier.place	Faculty of Engineering, University of Moratuwa
dc.identifier.proceeding	15th Annual symposium on Research and Industry
dc.identifier.uri	http://dl.lib.mrt.ac.lk/handle/123/8301
dc.identifier.year	2009
dc.language	en
dc.title	Forecasting critical dry spells in dl1 - a case study from anamaduwa
dc.type	Conference-Extended-Abstract

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